Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 78.30
Price - 52 Week High: 78.31
Price - 52 Week Low: 60.42
Price Date (Latest): Feb 19
Median Price Target: 79.20
Diff from Prev Close: 0.90
% Difference: 1.15

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.8

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.79
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 0.44
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 20.53
Yield (%): 0.77

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 3.84 4.41 3.62 3.70 6 -- 1 --
Annual Oct 20 3.37 3.54 3.24 3.37 14 2 -- 0.04
Annual Oct 19 3.05 3.09 3.00 3.05 16 1 -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 0.73 0.75 0.72 0.73 13 1 -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 0.72 0.75 0.70 0.72 13 1 -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 0.74 0.77 0.72 0.74 13 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 0.86 0.90 0.83 0.87 13 1 -- --
Long Term Growth 10.49 12.40 9.40 9.68 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 2.79 2.72 2.71
Annual Oct 17 2.36 2.32 1.90
Annual Oct 16 1.98 1.91 3.66
Quarterly Oct 18 0.81 0.74 10.07
Quarterly Jul 18 0.67 0.63 6.81
Quarterly Apr 18 0.65 0.64 1.18
Quarterly Jan 18 0.66 0.58 13.79

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.36
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 19.30 20.36 17.83 19.72 3 1 -- --
Annual Oct 20 17.50 18.20 16.37 17.72 4 1 -- --
Annual Oct 19 15.88 16.89 15.07 15.83 5 1 -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 14.47 14.47 14.47 14.47 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 14.81 14.81 14.81 14.81 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 15.18 15.18 15.18 15.18 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 15.64 15.64 15.64 15.64 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 14.36 -- --
Annual Oct 17 14.99 -- --
Annual Oct 16 13.09 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 14.36 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 14.31 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 14.33 -- --
Quarterly Jan 18 14.00 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.34
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 4.23 4.34 4.12 4.23 2 1 -- --
Annual Oct 20 3.90 4.12 3.58 3.90 5 -- 1 -0.41
Annual Oct 19 3.57 3.80 3.30 3.57 6 -- 1 -1.21
Quarterly Jan 19 0.45 0.80 -- 0.56 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 0.64 1.15 -- 0.78 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 0.56 0.86 -- 0.81 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 0.71 1.24 -- 0.90 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 3.34 2.97 12.61
Annual Oct 17 2.73 2.63 3.80
Annual Oct 16 2.41 2.26 6.54
Quarterly Oct 18 1.16 0.80 45.00
Quarterly Jul 18 0.61 0.68 -10.29
Quarterly Apr 18 0.93 0.58 60.34
Quarterly Jan 18 0.67 0.67 --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.60
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 0.82 0.87 0.79 0.80 5 -- -- --
Annual Oct 20 0.73 0.79 0.71 0.72 10 -- -- --
Annual Oct 19 0.66 0.72 0.60 0.66 10 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 6 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 6 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 6 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 6 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 0.60 -- --
Annual Oct 17 0.53 -- --
Annual Oct 16 0.46 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 0.15 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 0.15 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 0.15 -- --
Quarterly Jan 18 0.15 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,098.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 1,410.17 1,486.29 1,337.00 1,402.00 7 -- -- --
Annual Oct 20 1,288.29 1,350.70 1,186.00 1,293.25 12 1 -- --
Annual Oct 19 1,178.42 1,205.33 1,069.00 1,189.39 12 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 285.51 288.20 282.00 286.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 280.10 289.00 272.00 280.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 286.96 292.00 280.00 287.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 332.18 347.00 312.00 333.00 9 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 1,098.00 -- --
Annual Oct 17 1,030.00 -- --
Annual Oct 16 851.00 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 322.00 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 268.00 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 260.00 -- --
Quarterly Jan 18 270.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,203.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 1,530.72 1,681.61 1,282.00 1,558.50 6 -- -- --
Annual Oct 20 1,435.43 1,516.76 1,355.00 1,433.00 11 -- -- --
Annual Oct 19 1,312.82 1,400.37 1,183.00 1,303.00 13 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 317.10 331.00 310.00 317.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 311.93 322.00 302.00 314.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 318.52 331.00 312.00 316.16 9 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 364.85 387.00 347.00 364.00 9 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 1,203.00 -- --
Annual Oct 17 1,125.00 -- --
Annual Oct 16 945.00 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 349.00 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 295.00 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 285.00 -- --
Quarterly Jan 18 296.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.97
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 3.48 3.69 3.26 3.48 2 -- -- --
Annual Oct 20 2.99 3.21 2.82 3.00 5 -- -- --
Annual Oct 19 2.73 3.01 2.48 2.70 6 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 0.65 0.72 0.57 0.64 5 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 0.64 0.72 0.56 0.63 5 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 0.66 0.74 0.60 0.65 5 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 0.78 0.83 0.72 0.78 5 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 0.97 -- --
Annual Oct 17 2.10 -- --
Annual Oct 16 1.40 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 0.61 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 0.73 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 0.63 -- --
Quarterly Jan 18 -0.99 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -448.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 -1,945.87 -1,234.00 -2,622.50 -2,046.46 5 -- 1 --
Annual Oct 20 -1,522.21 -963.07 -2,275.40 -1,518.00 5 -- 1 --
Annual Oct 19 -1,157.23 -512.01 -1,943.50 -1,099.93 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly Jan 19 -555.00 -555.00 -555.00 -555.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 -170.00 -170.00 -170.00 -170.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 232.00 232.00 232.00 232.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 609.00 609.00 609.00 609.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 -448.00 -775.26 42.21
Annual Oct 17 -667.00 -824.32 19.08
Annual Oct 16 -377.00 -108.80 -246.49
Quarterly Oct 18 -448.00 -736.00 39.13
Quarterly Apr 18 -896.00 -827.00 -8.34
Quarterly Jan 18 -742.00 -686.00 -8.16

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 907.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 1,195.20 1,360.03 1,130.18 1,173.00 6 -- 1 --
Annual Oct 20 1,073.12 1,112.52 1,018.00 1,072.00 11 2 -- --
Annual Oct 19 978.69 988.91 969.00 979.00 13 1 1 --
Quarterly Jan 19 233.83 237.00 230.00 234.19 10 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 231.15 238.00 225.00 231.60 10 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 237.48 247.00 233.75 236.50 10 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 274.10 286.00 263.00 274.30 10 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 907.00 -- --
Annual Oct 17 768.00 -- --
Annual Oct 16 651.00 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 262.00 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 217.00 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 212.00 -- --
Quarterly Jan 18 216.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 19 1,154.00 1,154.00 1,154.00 1,154.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 19.30
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 21.89 23.37 19.70 22.25 4 -- 1 --
Annual Oct 20 20.56 22.60 18.70 21.00 7 -- 1 --
Annual Oct 19 20.00 22.90 17.80 20.01 9 -- 1 1.20
Quarterly Jan 19 20.25 20.40 20.10 20.25 2 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 19.55 19.80 19.30 19.55 2 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 19.75 20.10 19.40 19.75 2 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 22.00 22.90 21.10 22.00 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 19.30 -- --
Annual Oct 17 16.28 -- --
Annual Oct 16 15.51 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 22.94 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 18.92 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 17.96 -- --
Quarterly Jan 18 18.48 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 4,914.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 5,812.20 5,964.08 5,749.00 5,807.00 7 -- -- --
Annual Oct 20 5,493.11 5,695.00 5,417.00 5,482.00 14 2 -- 0.01
Annual Oct 19 5,166.08 5,225.49 5,144.00 5,157.49 14 1 1 0.00
Quarterly Jan 19 1,271.81 1,275.41 1,265.00 1,272.15 11 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 19 1,268.73 1,277.12 1,250.00 1,272.00 11 -- 1 --
Quarterly Jul 19 1,266.31 1,280.00 1,256.00 1,266.00 11 -- 1 --
Quarterly Oct 19 1,351.23 1,365.00 1,335.00 1,352.00 11 1 -- 0.02

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 4,914.00 4,874.69 0.81
Annual Oct 17 4,472.00 4,452.70 0.43
Annual Oct 16 4,202.00 4,158.68 1.04
Quarterly Oct 18 1,294.00 1,254.78 3.13
Quarterly Jul 18 1,203.00 1,196.71 0.53
Quarterly Apr 18 1,206.00 1,211.30 -0.44
Quarterly Jan 18 1,211.00 1,158.16 4.56

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 25.71 46.75 0.55
FY1 23.20 -10.47 -2.22
FY2 20.42 28.59 0.71

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 9.14 -99.89 992.18
FY2/FY1 10.83 40.57 0.79
FY3/FY2 10.83 40.57 0.79

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