Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 77.90
Price - 52 Week High: 82.27
Price - 52 Week Low: 61.01
Price Date (Latest): Sep 19
Median Price Target: 82.58
Diff from Prev Close: 4.68
% Difference: 6.01

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.00

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.79
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.66
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 32.57
Yield (%): 0.84

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 3.87 4.25 3.75 3.80 9 -- 1 0.80
Annual Oct 20 3.43 3.51 3.36 3.41 15 1 1 0.54
Annual Oct 19 3.08 3.10 3.07 3.08 15 2 -- 0.42
Quarterly Jan 20 0.84 0.86 0.83 0.83 10 1 -- 0.50
Quarterly Apr 20 0.79 0.80 0.77 0.79 10 1 -- 0.90
Quarterly Jul 20 0.84 0.86 0.82 0.85 10 1 -- 1.13
Quarterly Oct 19 0.86 0.87 0.85 0.85 12 -- 2 -0.42
Long Term Growth 10.60 10.90 10.30 10.60 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 2.79 2.72 2.71
Annual Oct 17 2.36 2.32 1.90
Annual Oct 16 1.98 1.91 3.66
Quarterly Jul 19 0.76 0.72 5.17
Quarterly Apr 19 0.71 0.72 -0.75
Quarterly Jan 19 0.76 0.73 4.02
Quarterly Oct 18 0.81 0.74 10.07

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.36
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 17.68 19.17 15.21 18.65 3 -- -- 0.54
Annual Oct 20 16.33 18.30 13.27 16.81 5 -- -- 0.33
Annual Oct 19 14.66 15.70 11.64 15.26 5 -- -- 0.10
Quarterly Jan 20 15.90 15.90 15.90 15.90 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 20 16.24 16.24 16.24 16.24 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 20 16.62 16.62 16.62 16.62 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 15.49 15.49 15.48 15.49 2 -- -- -0.80

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 14.36 14.58 -1.49
Annual Oct 17 14.99 14.49 3.41
Annual Oct 16 13.09 13.18 -0.70
Quarterly Jul 19 15.31 15.48 -1.08
Quarterly Apr 19 16.17 16.06 0.70
Quarterly Jan 19 15.84 14.47 9.47
Quarterly Oct 18 14.36 14.32 0.28

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.34
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 4.20 4.37 3.94 4.30 3 -- -- -1.27
Annual Oct 20 3.90 4.19 3.63 3.89 5 -- -- -0.03
Annual Oct 19 3.61 4.17 3.30 3.47 5 -- -- -0.18
Quarterly Jan 20 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 20 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 20 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 0.62 0.95 -- 0.92 3 -- -- -0.53

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 3.34 2.97 12.61
Annual Oct 17 2.73 2.63 3.80
Annual Oct 16 2.41 2.26 6.54
Quarterly Jul 19 0.77 0.54 43.48
Quarterly Apr 19 0.78 0.68 14.71
Quarterly Jan 19 0.66 0.45 45.59
Quarterly Oct 18 1.16 0.80 45.00

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.60
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 0.79 0.80 0.79 0.79 4 -- -- -0.07
Annual Oct 20 0.71 0.72 0.64 0.72 8 -- -- -1.46
Annual Oct 19 0.65 0.66 0.64 0.66 8 -- -- -0.34
Quarterly Jan 20 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 20 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 20 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.16 6 -- -- 0.21

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 0.60 0.60 -0.53
Annual Oct 17 0.53 0.51 3.08
Annual Oct 16 0.46 0.45 2.22
Quarterly Jul 19 0.16 0.16 1.23
Quarterly Apr 19 0.16 0.16 3.05
Quarterly Jan 19 0.16 0.16 3.25
Quarterly Oct 18 0.15 0.15 -0.53

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,098.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 1,429.29 1,456.70 1,371.98 1,431.50 8 -- 2 0.92
Annual Oct 20 1,286.74 1,329.10 1,093.00 1,308.00 12 1 1 0.41
Annual Oct 19 1,161.82 1,187.65 951.00 1,184.02 11 2 -- -0.26
Quarterly Jan 20 321.33 327.00 310.00 323.00 8 1 -- 0.78
Quarterly Apr 20 303.27 313.00 297.00 302.09 8 1 -- 1.13
Quarterly Jul 20 317.93 327.00 308.00 318.14 8 1 -- 0.94
Quarterly Oct 19 326.53 335.00 315.00 326.40 11 1 2 -0.60

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 1,098.00 1,082.52 1.43
Annual Oct 17 1,030.00 961.94 7.08
Annual Oct 16 851.00 841.55 1.12
Quarterly Jul 19 280.00 277.17 1.02
Quarterly Apr 19 266.00 280.06 -5.02
Quarterly Jan 19 295.00 285.51 3.32
Quarterly Oct 18 322.00 296.02 8.78

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,203.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 1,521.29 1,600.80 1,427.00 1,549.20 7 -- 1 0.59
Annual Oct 20 1,426.35 1,516.00 1,322.00 1,425.50 12 1 -- 1.14
Annual Oct 19 1,298.46 1,365.00 1,257.00 1,295.00 9 -- -- 0.64
Quarterly Jan 20 354.61 377.00 342.00 349.50 6 1 -- 0.67
Quarterly Apr 20 336.89 352.00 326.00 335.50 6 1 -- 1.20
Quarterly Jul 20 356.36 375.00 347.00 352.00 6 1 -- 1.03
Quarterly Oct 19 354.47 367.00 333.00 356.00 10 1 1 -1.20

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 1,203.00 1,215.92 -1.06
Annual Oct 17 1,125.00 1,061.92 5.94
Annual Oct 16 945.00 930.17 1.59
Quarterly Jul 19 310.00 307.41 0.84
Quarterly Apr 19 293.00 309.10 -5.21
Quarterly Jan 19 323.00 317.10 1.86
Quarterly Oct 18 349.00 324.59 7.52

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.97
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 3.46 3.65 3.18 3.50 5 -- -- -1.76
Annual Oct 20 3.06 3.38 2.84 3.06 9 1 -- -0.79
Annual Oct 19 3.49 3.70 3.40 3.48 8 -- 1 -0.53
Quarterly Jan 20 0.75 0.77 0.71 0.76 5 1 -- 1.01
Quarterly Apr 20 0.69 0.73 0.65 0.69 5 1 -- -0.43
Quarterly Jul 20 0.74 0.78 0.69 0.73 5 1 -- -0.67
Quarterly Oct 19 0.74 0.84 0.69 0.73 7 -- 1 -1.14

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 0.97 1.42 -31.69
Annual Oct 17 2.10 2.09 0.29
Annual Oct 16 1.40 1.44 -2.89
Quarterly Jul 19 0.60 0.65 -8.05
Quarterly Apr 19 0.57 0.65 -11.63
Quarterly Jan 19 1.57 0.65 142.28
Quarterly Oct 18 0.61 0.69 -11.08

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -448.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 221.13 533.00 46.38 84.00 3 1 1 136.21
Annual Oct 20 617.18 663.00 593.00 595.54 3 1 1 365.23
Annual Oct 19 940.57 1,014.00 816.00 991.72 3 1 1 877.15
Quarterly Jan 20 925.07 925.07 925.07 925.07 1 1 -- 372.53
Quarterly Apr 20 826.70 826.70 826.70 826.70 1 1 -- 282.98
Quarterly Jul 20 718.97 718.97 718.97 718.97 1 1 -- 218.70
Quarterly Oct 19 991.72 991.72 991.72 991.72 1 1 -- 431.42

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 -448.00 -775.26 42.21
Annual Oct 17 -667.00 -824.32 19.08
Annual Oct 16 -377.00 -108.80 -246.49
Quarterly Jul 19 33.00 -207.17 115.93
Quarterly Apr 19 -357.00 -468.55 23.81
Quarterly Jan 19 -259.00 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 -448.00 -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 907.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 1,191.36 1,294.40 1,143.00 1,178.29 8 -- 1 1.13
Annual Oct 20 1,065.89 1,088.10 1,047.00 1,062.01 13 -- 2 0.31
Annual Oct 19 979.82 983.87 974.00 979.00 13 3 -- 0.20
Quarterly Jan 20 261.84 269.00 258.00 261.00 9 1 -- 0.47
Quarterly Apr 20 246.45 254.00 241.00 247.00 9 1 -- 0.76
Quarterly Jul 20 261.88 270.00 255.35 262.00 9 1 -- 0.62
Quarterly Oct 19 268.38 272.24 266.00 267.00 12 1 2 -0.68

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 907.00 881.42 2.90
Annual Oct 17 768.00 753.37 1.94
Annual Oct 16 651.00 630.83 3.20
Quarterly Jul 19 240.00 229.28 4.68
Quarterly Apr 19 228.00 229.87 -0.82
Quarterly Jan 19 244.00 233.83 4.35
Quarterly Oct 18 262.00 236.72 10.68

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual Oct 20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual Oct 19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 19.30
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 22.63 27.00 20.10 21.72 4 -- -- 0.56
Annual Oct 20 21.30 27.40 18.50 21.00 7 -- -- 0.53
Annual Oct 19 21.18 23.80 19.70 20.62 8 -- -- 0.83
Quarterly Jan 20 21.05 21.05 21.05 21.05 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 20 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.14 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 20 20.73 20.73 20.73 20.73 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 22.38 22.76 22.00 22.38 2 -- -- 0.22

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 19.30 18.25 1.05
Annual Oct 17 16.28 16.37 -0.09
Annual Oct 16 15.51 13.96 1.55
Quarterly Apr 19 17.95 18.84 -0.89
Quarterly Jan 19 20.33 20.25 0.08
Quarterly Oct 18 22.94 20.50 2.44

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 4,914.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 5,876.09 6,082.00 5,765.00 5,889.00 10 -- 2 0.54
Annual Oct 20 5,540.30 5,666.00 5,365.00 5,570.50 14 1 2 0.53
Annual Oct 19 5,124.65 5,135.00 5,111.16 5,125.50 14 3 -- 0.10
Quarterly Jan 20 1,374.83 1,389.00 1,349.00 1,380.00 9 1 -- 0.74
Quarterly Apr 20 1,340.52 1,360.00 1,312.00 1,351.00 9 1 -- 0.82
Quarterly Jul 20 1,378.53 1,404.00 1,339.00 1,386.00 9 1 -- 0.92
Quarterly Oct 19 1,328.35 1,339.00 1,315.16 1,329.00 13 1 2 -0.27

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 4,914.00 4,874.69 0.81
Annual Oct 17 4,472.00 4,452.70 0.43
Annual Oct 16 4,202.00 4,158.68 1.04
Quarterly Jul 19 1,274.00 1,239.02 2.82
Quarterly Apr 19 1,238.00 1,268.45 -2.40
Quarterly Jan 19 1,284.00 1,271.81 0.96
Quarterly Oct 18 1,294.00 1,254.78 3.13

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 27.92 25.26 22.69

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 13.53 11.31 12.84

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