Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 81.08
Price - 52 Week High: 82.27
Price - 52 Week Low: 60.42
Price Date (Latest): Apr 19
Median Price Target: 88.00
Diff from Prev Close: 6.92
% Difference: 8.53

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.71

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.79
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.63
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 18.95
Yield (%): 0.74

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 3.79 4.10 3.65 3.75 9 1 -- 1.12
Annual Oct 20 3.42 3.55 3.35 3.40 13 3 -- 0.55
Annual Oct 19 3.07 3.10 3.05 3.07 14 1 -- 0.11
Quarterly Apr 19 0.72 0.73 0.70 0.72 13 1 -- 0.02
Quarterly Jul 19 0.73 0.75 0.72 0.73 12 1 -- 0.19
Quarterly Oct 19 0.86 0.88 0.80 0.87 12 -- -- 0.18
Quarterly Jan 20 0.83 0.84 0.81 0.83 9 4 -- 3.26
Long Term Growth 10.65 11.40 9.70 10.75 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 2.79 2.72 2.71
Annual Oct 17 2.36 2.32 1.90
Annual Oct 16 1.98 1.91 3.66
Quarterly Jan 19 0.76 0.73 4.02
Quarterly Oct 18 0.81 0.74 10.07
Quarterly Jul 18 0.67 0.63 6.81
Quarterly Apr 18 0.65 0.64 1.18

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.36
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 20.15 21.27 17.73 20.79 4 1 1 6.80
Annual Oct 20 18.87 20.27 16.72 18.97 6 3 -- 7.75
Annual Oct 19 16.92 17.53 15.80 17.09 6 4 -- 6.29
Quarterly Apr 19 16.06 16.25 15.87 16.06 2 1 -- 1.18
Quarterly Jul 19 16.45 16.68 16.22 16.45 2 1 -- 1.40
Quarterly Oct 19 16.99 17.26 16.71 16.99 2 1 -- 1.62
Quarterly Jan 20 17.66 17.66 17.66 17.66 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 14.36 -- --
Annual Oct 17 14.99 -- --
Annual Oct 16 13.09 -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 15.84 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 14.36 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 14.31 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 14.33 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.34
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 4.27 4.52 3.95 4.31 4 2 -- -1.11
Annual Oct 20 3.95 4.17 3.63 3.98 7 4 -- -0.21
Annual Oct 19 3.83 4.62 3.49 3.61 7 5 -- 6.66
Quarterly Apr 19 0.68 1.15 -- 0.79 4 -- 1 6.37
Quarterly Jul 19 0.62 0.86 -- 0.82 4 -- 1 11.65
Quarterly Oct 19 0.79 1.24 -- 0.96 4 1 -- 8.57
Quarterly Jan 20 0.75 0.94 0.56 0.75 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 3.34 2.97 12.61
Annual Oct 17 2.73 2.63 3.80
Annual Oct 16 2.41 2.26 6.54
Quarterly Jan 19 0.66 0.45 45.59
Quarterly Oct 18 1.16 0.80 45.00
Quarterly Jul 18 0.61 0.68 -10.29
Quarterly Apr 18 0.93 0.58 60.34

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.60
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 0.80 0.81 0.79 0.79 6 -- 1 0.46
Annual Oct 20 0.72 0.79 0.60 0.72 9 -- -- 0.01
Annual Oct 19 0.66 0.69 0.60 0.66 9 -- -- -0.92
Quarterly Apr 19 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 20 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 0.60 -- --
Annual Oct 17 0.53 -- --
Annual Oct 16 0.46 -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 0.16 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 0.15 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 0.15 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 0.15 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,098.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 1,427.08 1,474.39 1,337.00 1,437.50 10 2 -- 0.21
Annual Oct 20 1,319.74 1,344.52 1,301.90 1,323.00 12 2 -- 0.76
Annual Oct 19 1,201.07 1,216.28 1,173.00 1,201.22 12 1 -- 0.86
Quarterly Apr 19 279.93 283.00 277.00 280.00 11 1 -- 0.03
Quarterly Jul 19 287.03 292.00 281.00 287.00 11 4 5 0.05
Quarterly Oct 19 336.60 345.79 322.00 338.00 11 1 -- 0.03
Quarterly Jan 20 323.51 330.00 314.00 323.00 7 3 1 1.70

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 1,098.00 -- --
Annual Oct 17 1,030.00 -- --
Annual Oct 16 851.00 -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 295.00 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 322.00 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 268.00 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 260.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,203.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 1,537.18 1,604.63 1,440.00 1,552.00 9 2 -- 0.15
Annual Oct 20 1,446.41 1,526.00 1,310.00 1,448.00 13 2 -- 0.19
Annual Oct 19 1,333.91 1,418.40 1,286.00 1,316.50 12 1 -- 0.32
Quarterly Apr 19 308.97 324.00 280.00 309.00 11 1 -- 0.03
Quarterly Jul 19 316.47 337.00 283.00 315.62 11 4 5 0.48
Quarterly Oct 19 366.86 385.00 336.00 368.30 11 1 -- 0.02
Quarterly Jan 20 361.31 378.00 346.00 359.44 6 2 1 2.72

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 1,203.00 -- --
Annual Oct 17 1,125.00 -- --
Annual Oct 16 945.00 -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 323.00 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 349.00 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 295.00 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 285.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.97
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 3.50 3.77 3.18 3.52 4 2 -- -2.00
Annual Oct 20 3.09 3.27 2.86 3.11 5 1 -- 0.37
Annual Oct 19 3.54 3.78 3.05 3.62 6 -- -- 4.47
Quarterly Apr 19 0.65 0.71 0.59 0.64 6 2 2 -1.09
Quarterly Jul 19 0.67 0.74 0.61 0.66 6 2 1 -0.50
Quarterly Oct 19 0.80 0.84 0.75 0.80 6 4 -- 1.79
Quarterly Jan 20 0.75 0.76 0.74 0.76 3 2 -- 3.76

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 0.97 -- --
Annual Oct 17 2.10 -- --
Annual Oct 16 1.40 -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 1.57 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 0.61 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 0.73 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 0.63 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -448.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 -1,735.81 -1,246.00 -2,082.70 -1,871.24 5 1 -- 1.46
Annual Oct 20 -1,521.22 -1,053.00 -2,537.00 -1,307.61 6 4 -- -9.25
Annual Oct 19 -1,062.21 -695.00 -1,666.80 -817.10 6 4 1 -21.09
Quarterly Apr 19 -467.20 -467.20 -467.20 -467.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 19 -581.20 -581.20 -581.20 -581.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 19 -793.20 -793.20 -793.20 -793.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 20 -813.50 -813.50 -813.50 -813.50 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 -448.00 -775.26 42.21
Annual Oct 17 -667.00 -824.32 19.08
Annual Oct 16 -377.00 -108.80 -246.49
Quarterly Jan 19 -259.00 -555.00 53.33
Quarterly Oct 18 -448.00 -736.00 39.13
Quarterly Apr 18 -896.00 -827.00 -8.34

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 907.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 1,183.37 1,227.84 1,155.00 1,184.00 8 2 -- 0.04
Annual Oct 20 1,085.66 1,111.56 1,058.00 1,087.00 12 3 -- 0.23
Annual Oct 19 987.48 997.31 980.00 987.27 12 1 -- 0.12
Quarterly Apr 19 229.73 234.00 225.00 230.00 11 3 7 -0.59
Quarterly Jul 19 236.03 240.00 233.12 235.00 11 4 5 -0.58
Quarterly Oct 19 277.38 284.12 267.00 278.70 11 7 2 1.05
Quarterly Jan 20 265.47 271.00 258.00 265.00 7 3 -- 2.44

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 907.00 -- --
Annual Oct 17 768.00 -- --
Annual Oct 16 651.00 -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 244.00 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 262.00 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 217.00 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 212.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 19 1,154.00 1,154.00 1,154.00 1,154.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 19.30
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 19.85 21.90 18.40 19.43 5 1 -- 0.10
Annual Oct 20 19.62 22.60 17.90 19.34 7 -- -- 0.14
Annual Oct 19 19.92 22.90 18.20 19.77 8 1 -- 1.34
Quarterly Apr 19 18.85 19.80 17.90 18.86 3 -- 1 0.02
Quarterly Jul 19 19.11 20.10 17.90 19.33 3 -- 1 0.58
Quarterly Oct 19 22.03 22.90 20.60 22.60 3 -- 1 1.29
Quarterly Jan 20 20.42 20.60 20.24 20.42 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 19.30 -- --
Annual Oct 17 16.28 -- --
Annual Oct 16 15.51 -- --
Quarterly Jan 19 20.33 -- --
Quarterly Oct 18 22.94 -- --
Quarterly Jul 18 18.92 -- --
Quarterly Apr 18 17.96 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 4,914.00
FY0 End Date: Oct 18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 21 5,861.87 6,138.00 5,775.53 5,851.00 10 2 -- 0.03
Annual Oct 20 5,511.86 5,629.00 5,446.00 5,504.00 13 2 -- 0.06
Annual Oct 19 5,187.05 5,225.00 5,171.00 5,184.00 13 1 -- 0.03
Quarterly Apr 19 1,268.58 1,281.00 1,263.00 1,267.00 13 1 -- 0.02
Quarterly Jul 19 1,272.75 1,289.69 1,265.00 1,270.41 13 1 -- 0.02
Quarterly Oct 19 1,361.87 1,378.00 1,349.00 1,359.00 13 1 -- 0.02
Quarterly Jan 20 1,363.23 1,378.00 1,351.00 1,361.67 8 4 -- 0.67

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 18 4,914.00 4,874.69 0.81
Annual Oct 17 4,472.00 4,452.70 0.43
Annual Oct 16 4,202.00 4,158.68 1.04
Quarterly Jan 19 1,284.00 1,271.81 0.96
Quarterly Oct 18 1,294.00 1,254.78 3.13
Quarterly Jul 18 1,203.00 1,196.71 0.53
Quarterly Apr 18 1,206.00 1,211.30 -0.44

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 26.39 59.11 0.45
FY1 23.74 -2.69 -8.81
FY2 21.37 18.46 1.16

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 10.14 -99.89 1,001.27
FY2/FY1 11.15 35.93 0.82
FY3/FY2 11.15 35.93 0.82

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